Game Result Predictions
Sunday, April 28
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Boca Raton, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Old Dominion (35-21, Road 13-9) |
7 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✘ | 5 | +1.5 | 39% | ✘ | |
|
FAU (41-21, Home 23-10) |
2 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 9 (-4) |
6 | -1.5 | 61% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Miami, FL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Charlotte (21-31-1, Road 5-13-1) |
6 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 10 | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 47% | ✘ | |
|
FIU (23-32, Home 13-15) |
3 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 9 (-1) |
5 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Murfreesboro, TN | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Southern Miss (40-21, Road 11-12) |
7 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 11 | ✔ | 8 | -7.0 | 84% | ✔ | |
|
Middle Tennessee (18-37, Home 13-14) |
1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | Actual: 8 (-3) |
1 | +7.0 | 16% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Houston, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Louisiana Tech (34-24, Road 15-13) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +0.5 | 50% | ✔ | |
|
Rice (26-33, Home 15-16) |
3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 4 (-7) |
5 | -0.5 | 50% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Birmingham, AL | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Marshall (29-28, Road 8-13) |
1 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 5 | +1.0 | 42% | ✔ | |
|
UAB (27-29, Home 18-13) |
9 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 10 (-3) |
6 | -1.0 | 58% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Western Kentucky (26-29-1, Road 8-14) |
5 | 6 | +3.0 | 39% | 15 | ✘ | 6 | +1.5 | 41% | ✘ | |
|
UTSA (28-30, Home 16-16) |
3 | 9 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 8 (-7) |
7 | -1.5 | 59% | |||